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Friday, 22 June 2012

Caribbean Tourism Industry Report Q3 2012

The Caribbean Tourism Report examines the enormous long-term potential of the market, given its reputation as a major tourism destination, but analyses the impact of a slowdown in Europe – one of its major markets – especially as the Caribbean is a relatively expensive holiday destination.

The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Caribbean tourism market, capitalising on the region’s wide variety of tourism destinations and well developed tourism infrastructure. The report also assesses differences between the key island groupings and which are recovering more swiftly. We also analyse the key players in the Caribbean market, both domestic and foreign, and the development strategies they are employing to maximise returns during the economic slowdown.

Key Findings
Data released by the Caribbean Tourism Organisation (CTO) in April 2012 showed that the region enjoyed a good start to the year, with only one country experiencing a decline in tourist arrivals; the lowest number of countries to do so since the financial crisis hit in 2007. This country was Dominica, with an arrivals decline of 5.2% year-on-year (y-o-y). However, Dominica has as yet only reported
arrivals data for January, meaning that arrivals may pick up in the rest of the traditional high season. Of the other countries, only Aruba and Barbados have reported data for the first quarter of 2011, experiencing arrivals growth of 2.4% y-o-y and 2.3% y-o-y respectively, Of those reporting January- February arrivals data, Guyana experienced a surge in arrivals growth of 18.7% y-o-y, followed by Martinique (10.9%), the US Virgin Islands (9.0%) and Anguilla (7.7%). Although this data is only for two or three months, it does indicate that the improving arrivals trend in late 2011 is continuing into 2012, boding well for arrivals throughout the year.

Focus On Guyana
Guyana is one of least well known destinations in the Caribbean Community (Caricom), of which it is a member. However, Guyana is located beyond the Caribbean, on the South American continent, and neighbours Venezuela, Brazil and Suriname. As well as its links to the Caribbean, Guyana is being marketed as an unusual route for visitors to enter South America, with its land links meaning that a visit  to Guyana can easily lead on to Brazil and other South American countries. Moreover, Guyana’s status as the only English-speaking country in South America has allowed it to promote itself particularly in the UK and North America.

Key Changes Made
BMI analyses the tourist arrivals across the Caribbean for the first months of 2012, assessing the drivers
behind strong performance in some markets and weaker in others.
BMI looks at the deteriorating financial position of Caribbean Airlines, and the difficulty it is
experiencing in merging the operations of Air Jamaica into its own.
BMI reports on the financial results of major players in the region such as Royal Caribbean Cruises and
MeliĆ” Hotels International, and how these companies are likely to perform in 2012.

Q3 2012 Report of Caribbean Tourism Industry

Published: June 2012                          No. of Pages: 39                           Price: US $ 1175

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Table of Contents

Executive Summary . 5
SWOT Analysis 7
Russia Retail Business Environment SWOT 7
Russia Political SWOT 8
Russia Economic SWOT .. 8
Market Overview .. 9
Current Trends .. 10
Key Players ... 12
Industry Forecast Scenario .. 17
Consumer Outlook 17
Retail Growth Outlook .. 19
Table: Russia’s Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016 .. 19
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2012f 22
Macroeconomic Outlook ... 23
Table: Russia - Economic Activity, 2011-2016 . 26
Regional Retail Outlook 27
Central And Eastern Europe Retail Outlook . 27
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Trends, 2008-2016. 27
Table: Regional Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (US$bn) 28
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Sales By % Share, 2009-2016 29
Regional Retail Trends.. 29
Risk/Reward Ratings . 37
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Ratings . 37
Russia’s Retail Rating ... 38
Limits To Potential Returns .. 38
Risks To Realisation Of Returns 39
Mass Grocery Retail .. 40
Russia Mass Grocery Retail SWOT ... 40
Market Overview ... 41
Table: Russia’s Top 10 Mass Grocery Retailers ... 41
Leading Retailers .. 43
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Number Of Outlets, 2003-2011 ... 45
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Value, 2003-2011 46
Table: Average Sales Value Per Retail Outlet, 2011e ... 46
Industry Forecast Scenario ... 47
Table: Mass Grocery Retail – Value Sales by Format, 2009-2016 ... 48
Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type ... 48
Industry Developments .. 48
Consumer Electronics... 51
Russia Consumer Electronics Market SWOT 51
Market Overview ... 52
Computers . 52
Table: PC Sales, 2009-2016 . 52
AV . 55
Table: AV Sales, 2009-2016 .. 55
Mobile Handsets ... 59
Table: Mobile Communications, 2009-2016 . 59
Industry Forecast Scenario ... 64
Consumer Electronics Market ... 64
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2009-2016 . 65
Industry Developments .. 67
Automotives ... 71
Russia Autos Industry SWOT 71
Market Overview ... 72
Industry Forecast Scenario ... 74
Domestic Sales .. 74
Table: Russia Autos Sales, 2010-2016 .. 74
Rural-Urban Divergence .. 75
Production 76
Table: Russia Autos Production, 2010-2016 . 76
Industry Developments .. 77
Demographic Outlook ... 79
Table: Russia''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (''000) ... 80
Table: Russia''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) .. 81
Table: Russia''s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 .. 82
Table: Russia''s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 82
BMI Methodology ... 83
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ... 83
Sources.. 84Table: Russia''s Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016 . 19
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2012f . 22
Table: Russia - Economic Activity, 2011-2016 . 26
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Trends, 2008-2016. 27
Table: Regional Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (US$bn) . 28
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Sales By % Share, 2009-2016 . 29
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Ratings . 37
Table: Russia''s Top 10 Mass Grocery Retailers . 41
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Number Of Outlets, 2003-2011 . 45
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Value, 2003-2011 . 46
Table: Average Sales Value Per Retail Outlet, 2011e . 46
Table: Mass Grocery Retail – Value Sales by Format, 2009-2016 . 48
Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type . 48
Table: PC Sales, 2009-2016 . 52
Table: AV Sales, 2009-2016 . 55
Table: Mobile Communications, 2009-2016 . 59
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2009-2016 . 65
Table: Russia Autos Sales, 2010-2016 . 74
Table: Russia Autos Production, 2010-2016 . 76
Table: Russia''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (''000) . 80
Table: Russia''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 81
Table: Russia''s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 82
Table: Russia''s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 82

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