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Friday, 29 June 2012

India Infrastructure Report Q3 2012

We remain convinced that the construction sector''s fortunes will improve in FY2012/13 as monetary conditions are already becoming conducive for construction. As such, we are maintaining our real growth forecasts for the construction sector at 7.2% in FY2012/13. However, the lack of willingness to carry out regulatory reforms during the FY2012/13 budget announcement is concerning for the outlook of the 12th Five-Year Plan. Therefore, we have revised down our medium-term construction forecasts, with real growth for the sector averaging 7.8% (previously 8.1%) per annum between FY2013/14- FY2016/17.

Key drivers affecting growth include: 
  • In February 2012, India''s Ministry of Shipping announced plans to carry out more than 22 new projects during 2012, reports PTI, citing a statement by shipping minister G K Vasan on February 20 2012. The projects will involve an investment of more than INR160bn (US$3.21bn), with five or six due to have been completed by end-March 2012. The ministry is also discussing Land Use Policy and Coastal Shipping, which is undergoing an interministerial consultation and is expected to be placed before the cabinet. Once the consultation is finished, the policy will be cleared, according to Vasan. 
  • In March 2012, the Indian government had launched an INR200bn (US$4bn) tender for 15 road infrastructure projects under a design, build, operate, finance and transfer (DBOFT) basis. 10 of the projects will involve the widening of roads to four-lane highways, whilst a further three will see roads widened to six-lane highways. They will encompass highways totaling approximately 2,000km. More than 60 companies are expected to bid for the projects and the National Highways Authority of India will announced the winning bidders during the fiscal year 2012/13. 
  • In April 2012, Chinese state-owned construction company Power Construction Corporation of China (PowerCorp) has been awarded a US$2.4bn contract to construct the second phase of a 3840MW coal-fired power plant in the state of Tamil Nadu. The contract was awarded by Indian infrastructure developer Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services Limited (IL&FS) under an EPC - Engineering Procurement and Construction - framework. PowerCorp is expected to install four 660MW generators at the project site. The first phase of the power plant, 1200MW, is expected to be completed in June 2013. The contract win marks the first time for a number of years that a Chinese company is providing EPC services to a major power plant project in India.
Published: June 2012           No. of Pages: 150               Price: US $ 1175   
                    
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Table of Contents
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT Analysis 6
India Infrastructure Industry SWOT .. 6
Market Overview .. 7
Competitive Landscape ... 7
Building Materials .. 12
Global ... 12
Asia ... 15
Cement Forecast ... 20
Table: India Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016 ... 20
Table: India Cement Production and Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 . 20
Industry Forecast Scenario .. 22
Table: India Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2017 .. 22
Table: India Construction And Infrastructure Industry Long Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2022 23
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario .. 25
Table: India FY2012/13 Budget - Central Plan Outlay By Selected Ministries/Departments* 28
Transport Infrastructure 34
Table: India Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2017 .. 34
Table: India Transport Infrastructure Industry Data ... 36
Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview .. 38
Table: Competitiveness Of India''s Infrastructure 38
Table: Phases Of Development For The Navi Mumbai International Airport .. 44
Major Projects Table – Transport. 47
Table: Major Projects - Transport ... 47
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure ... 67
Table: India Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data ... 67
Table: India Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data ... 68
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview .. 71
Table: Nuclear Power Reactors ... 78
Major Projects Table – Energy and Utilities 85
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities ... 85
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 107
Table: India Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data ... 107
Table: India Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data ... 107
Residential/Non-residential Construction and Social Infrastructure Overview . 108
Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 111
Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructures . 111
Risk/Reward Ratings ... 115
India’s Risk/Reward Ratings .. 115
Rewards . 115
Risks ... 116
Regional Overview .. 117
Asia Pacific Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings ... 117
Table: China, India, Indonesia - BMI Interest Rate Views . 118
Table: Emerging South East Asia - BMI Interest Rate Views . 122
Table: Nearly Developed Asia - Bmi Interest Rate Views .. 123
Table: Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings. 125
Company Monitor 126
Gammon India Ltd. 126
Reliance Infrastructure .. 128
Larsen & Toubro ... 131
Global Overview ... 136
Methodology 143
Industry Forecasts .. 143
Construction Industry 144
Data Methodology . 144
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors . 144
Construction .. 146
Capital Investment . 146
Construction Sector Employment ... 147
Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 148
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators . 149Table: India Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016 . 20

Table: India Cement Production and Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 . 20

Table: India Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2017 . 22

Table: India Construction And Infrastructure Industry Long Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2022 . 23

Table: India FY2012/13 Budget - Central Plan Outlay By Selected Ministries/Departments* . 28

Table: India Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2017 . 34

Table: India Transport Infrastructure Industry Data . 36

Table: Competitiveness Of India''s Infrastructure . 38

Table: Phases Of Development For The Navi Mumbai International Airport . 44

Major Projects Table – Transport. 47

Table: Major Projects - Transport . 47

Table: India Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data . 67

Table: India Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data . 68

Table: Nuclear Power Reactors . 78

Major Projects Table – Energy and Utilities . 85

Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities . 85

Table: India Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data . 107

Table: India Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data . 107

Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure . 111
Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructures . 111
Table: China, India, Indonesia - BMI Interest Rate Views . 118
Table: Emerging South East Asia - BMI Interest Rate Views . 122
Table: Nearly Developed Asia - Bmi Interest Rate Views . 123
Table: Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings. 125
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators . 149                      



                   

                         

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