If consumer lending maintains the downward
trend followed for much of 2011, we also expect minimal growth in
passenger car sales, although we do believe positive growth can be
achieved from the low base in 2011.This is perhaps reflected in growth
of manufacturers of smaller cars. Kia Motors continues to be one of the
strongest brands in terms of sales, posting growth figures of 21.1%
y-o-y in the first five months of 2012. The South Korean brand has also
raised its market share to 4.5%. While Ford Motor continues to lead the
market, with stable growth of 4.4% in the first five months of 2012, the
biggest gain among the Detroit Three again came from Chrysler, which
increased its sales by 8.7% year-on-year (y-oy), and expanded its market
share from 14.5% at the end of 2011 to 15.2% in this period.
In the commercial vehicle segment, a boost to growth may come in the form of replacement sales as the federal government has recently proposed regulations to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from new medium- and heavy-duty vehicles and engines for the 2014 model year and beyond. The vehicles under consideration include large trucks, buses and short/long-haul tractors, as well as garbage and cement trucks. The regulations will bring Canada''s fuel economy and greenhouse gas emission levels in line with the US. The implementation of the proposal is expected to reduce emissions from 2018 heavy-duty vehicles by 23%, compared with 2010 levels. The government eventually aims to cut emissions by 17% in 2020, compared with 2005 levels.
The development of alternative fuel technology is also being supported by the government. In May 2012, it launched the ecoTECHNOLOGY for Vehicles Program''s next phase to analyse clean vehicle technologies, according to Transport, Infrastructure and Communities Minister Denis Lebel. He said that the CAD38mn (US$37mn) programme is designed to evaluate the safety and environmental performance of advanced vehicle technologies. The programme will include heavy-duty trucks and a wider range of technologies.
In terms of increasing personal usage, BMI believes that short-term car rental and car sharing will be an expanding market as customers move away from car ownership, and auto manufacturers develop more sophisticated business models. In April 2012, Ford Canada signed an agreement with urban car-sharing programme Zipcar to provide fuel-efficient Ford vehicles such as the Ford Escape and Ford Focus across 11 university campuses. Canadian car share firm car2go has also announced plans to expand its fleet in order to better cater to the needs of its 10,000 customers.
Autos Report of Canada Q3 2012
Published: July 2012 No. of Pages: 33 Price: US $ 1175
Table of Contents
In the commercial vehicle segment, a boost to growth may come in the form of replacement sales as the federal government has recently proposed regulations to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from new medium- and heavy-duty vehicles and engines for the 2014 model year and beyond. The vehicles under consideration include large trucks, buses and short/long-haul tractors, as well as garbage and cement trucks. The regulations will bring Canada''s fuel economy and greenhouse gas emission levels in line with the US. The implementation of the proposal is expected to reduce emissions from 2018 heavy-duty vehicles by 23%, compared with 2010 levels. The government eventually aims to cut emissions by 17% in 2020, compared with 2005 levels.
The development of alternative fuel technology is also being supported by the government. In May 2012, it launched the ecoTECHNOLOGY for Vehicles Program''s next phase to analyse clean vehicle technologies, according to Transport, Infrastructure and Communities Minister Denis Lebel. He said that the CAD38mn (US$37mn) programme is designed to evaluate the safety and environmental performance of advanced vehicle technologies. The programme will include heavy-duty trucks and a wider range of technologies.
In terms of increasing personal usage, BMI believes that short-term car rental and car sharing will be an expanding market as customers move away from car ownership, and auto manufacturers develop more sophisticated business models. In April 2012, Ford Canada signed an agreement with urban car-sharing programme Zipcar to provide fuel-efficient Ford vehicles such as the Ford Escape and Ford Focus across 11 university campuses. Canadian car share firm car2go has also announced plans to expand its fleet in order to better cater to the needs of its 10,000 customers.
Autos Report of Canada Q3 2012
Published: July 2012 No. of Pages: 33 Price: US $ 1175
Table of Contents
Executive Summary . 5
SWOT Analysis 6
Canada Autos Industry SWOT ... 6
Canada Political SWOT . 6
Canada Economic SWOT ... 7
Global Overview ... 8
Global Autos Update: End Of First Quarter Brings Both Positive And Negative Revisions As Key Trends ... 8
Table: Passenger Car Sales (Units), Jan-March 2012 ... 8
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario . 12
Table: Canada - Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts, 2014-2021 .. 14
Industry Forecast Scenario .. 15
Production And Sales 15
Table: Canada Autos Sector: Historical Data And Forecasts.. 15
Competitive Landscape 17
Table: Canada - Top 10 New Vehicle Sales (CBUs) 17
Table: Canada - Top 10 New Vehicle Sales (CBUs) 18
Commercial Vehicles . 19
Vehicle Rental ... 19
Fuel Efficiency .. 20
Investment . 21
Finance . 21
Suppliers 23
Company Profiles .. 24
Ford Motor .. 24
General Motors 25
Chrysler ... 26
Country Snapshot: Canada Demographic Data . 27
Table: Canada''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (''000) 28
Table: Canada''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) ... 29
Table: Canada''s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 ... 30
Table: Canada''s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 30
BMI Methodology ... 31
How We Generate Our Forecasting Model .. 31
Sources 32Table: Passenger Car Sales (Units), Jan-March 2012 . 8
Table: Canada - Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts, 2014-2021 . 14
Table: Canada Autos Sector: Historical Data And Forecasts. 15
Table: Canada - Top 10 New Vehicle Sales (CBUs) . 17
Table: Canada - Top 10 New Vehicle Sales (CBUs) . 18
Table: Canada''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (''000) . 28
Table: Canada''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 29
Table: Canada''s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 30
Table: Canada''s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 30
SWOT Analysis 6
Canada Autos Industry SWOT ... 6
Canada Political SWOT . 6
Canada Economic SWOT ... 7
Global Overview ... 8
Global Autos Update: End Of First Quarter Brings Both Positive And Negative Revisions As Key Trends ... 8
Table: Passenger Car Sales (Units), Jan-March 2012 ... 8
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario . 12
Table: Canada - Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts, 2014-2021 .. 14
Industry Forecast Scenario .. 15
Production And Sales 15
Table: Canada Autos Sector: Historical Data And Forecasts.. 15
Competitive Landscape 17
Table: Canada - Top 10 New Vehicle Sales (CBUs) 17
Table: Canada - Top 10 New Vehicle Sales (CBUs) 18
Commercial Vehicles . 19
Vehicle Rental ... 19
Fuel Efficiency .. 20
Investment . 21
Finance . 21
Suppliers 23
Company Profiles .. 24
Ford Motor .. 24
General Motors 25
Chrysler ... 26
Country Snapshot: Canada Demographic Data . 27
Table: Canada''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (''000) 28
Table: Canada''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) ... 29
Table: Canada''s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 ... 30
Table: Canada''s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 30
BMI Methodology ... 31
How We Generate Our Forecasting Model .. 31
Sources 32Table: Passenger Car Sales (Units), Jan-March 2012 . 8
Table: Canada - Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts, 2014-2021 . 14
Table: Canada Autos Sector: Historical Data And Forecasts. 15
Table: Canada - Top 10 New Vehicle Sales (CBUs) . 17
Table: Canada - Top 10 New Vehicle Sales (CBUs) . 18
Table: Canada''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (''000) . 28
Table: Canada''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 29
Table: Canada''s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 30
Table: Canada''s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 30
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